Goal: 3.1 Maintaining the Region's Competitive Edge |
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3.1.1 Educational Attainment of Population, Boston and MA
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Increasing and retaining a pool of young knowledge workers - the growth tip of the region’s economy - is critical to the city and to the region’s future. For decades, Metro Boston has relied on the ready pool of highly-skilled young adults turned out each year by colleges and universities in the area. Current challenges - including labor force growth due principally to immigration of lower skilled workers and persistent racial and ethnic disparities in education outcomes - may require more balanced strategies to grow the pool of knowledge workers. |
Metro Boston ranks 4th among the nation’s largest metro’s in the percent of adults 25 years or older with a BA or higher at 43%, behind DC, San Jose and San Francisco. However, Boston ranks 1st in the percent of highly educated young workers with 54% of 25-34 year olds holding a BA or Higher. The metro is anchored by Boston’s high educational attainment where 62% of 25 to 34 year old hold a BA or higher, topping all other large US cities. |
3.1.2 Innovative Capacity Measured by Patents per Capita
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Patents per capita is a widely used measure of technological capacity and innovation and a predictor of economic dynamism. The number of patents generated in a community indicates the capacity for creative thinking and research activity, the commitment to support innovation, and the potential for the development of new commercial products and services. |
Metro Boston ranked fourth globally in patent filings, accounting for 7.2% of all patents filed in the US and 2.5% of all patents filed worldwide, according to 2008 statistics from the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Metro Boston ranked second globally—behind only San Francisco—in biotech patents. According to the Mass Tech Collaborative, the number of patents awarded in Massachusetts rose by 33% between 2009 and 2010 and the state ranked first among all leading technology states in patents issued at 931 per million residents, up from 622 in 2006. The next highest state was New York with 749 patents per million. |
3.1.3 Share of US R&D and Venture Capital Funding
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The funding that Massachusetts’ and Metro Boston’s research institutions and universities attracts reflects the region's international reputation as fertile ground for innovation. Local research and development activities support breakthrough thinking, the development of new technologies, and the emergence of dynamic economic sectors. The combination of funding for research and development (R&D) and local access to venture capital (VC) supports entrepreneurs' conversion of ideas and pilot projects into economic activity and prosperity. |
R&D: Massachusetts ranked 6th in total funding for Research & Development with nearly $2.5 million and 3rd in per capita R&D funding with $373 per capita as of FY09, the most recent year for which data are available. More than half of the funding, $1.8 million, came from the federal government ranking 3rd in total federal funds. Massachusetts ranked 6th in total funding from industry but only 37th in R&D funding provided by the state. Venture Capital: As of Q1 2012, the New England Region had the second largest VC investment value in the nation, at $678 million and nearly 12% of the nation’s total. In 2011, Massachusetts per capita VC as $455, the highest of all leading technology states, despite falling from $491 per capita in 2006 according to the Mass Tech Collaborative. |
Goal: 3.2 Economic Strength and Resilience |
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3.2.1 Employment by Industry Sector
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A diverse regional economy offers a wide range of jobs and advancement opportunities for people at all skill levels and helps insulate from industry-specific down-turns. |
Total: As of 2011 Q3, Boston's average monthly employment was 565,164, the highest count since prior to the recession in 2008. However, Boston has yet to recover more than 18,000 jobs lost in the 2001 recession. This trend is not unique to Boston; throughout 2011 Metro Boston added a net 38,000 jobs, but total employment of about 2.4 million was 123,000 lower than last decade's employment peak in February 2001. |
3.2.2 Unemployment Rate
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The percentage of the workforce that is unable to find work is a basic economic indicator. A low unemployment rate means that the economy is strong enough to provide jobs for everyone who can work. The unemployment rate can also measure how well, or how poorly, the skills of the workforce match the available jobs in the region. |
The 2011 annual unemployment rate for Boston was 7.5% compared to 6.6% throughout Metro Boston, 7.4% statewide and 8.9% nationally. As of April 2012, unemployment had fallen to 5.5% in Boston, 5.3% in the Metro and 5.9% in Massachusetts—well below the US rate of 7.9%. Unemployment rates in Boston, Metro Boston and Massachusetts remained one to two percentage points lower than the national rate during and after the Great Recession. At the unemployment peak in January 2010, the US rate was 10.6% compared to 9.6% in Massachusetts, 8.6% in Metro Boston and 8.4% in the City of Boston. |
3.2.3 Small Businesses
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Half of all jobs in the Commonwealth are created by small businesses and in Boston - a city of neighborhoods - many small businesses are a source not only of economic development but also social capital. They serve as gathering places as well as showcases for local subcultures in addition to creating jobs and a sense of community investment. It is important that such businesses have access to economic resources, which enable them to start and expand their enterprises, and that business loans reflect Boston’s changing demographics as a measure of its civic health. | While Boston is well known for a few of its bigger institutions, such as Liberty Mutual or State Street, it is in small business employment that Boston really shines. According to Boston’s own Small Business Plan, the city’s small businesses make up over 40,000 establishments, generating around $15 billion in revenue and approximately 170,000 jobs. Of these, the simplest definition suggests that over 95% are sole proprietorships with fewer than 50 employees, or on average make under $5 million annually in revenue. Across the city of Boston, employment and employers are concentrated predominantly in three neighborhoods – Central Boston, Back Bay/Beacon Hill, and South Boston; while the Fenway/Kenmore neighborhood features the fourth-most concentration of jobs in the city, at 19% of the overall employment. |
3.2.4 Strong Office and Hotel Markets
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The amount of office space that is occupied or vacated over a given period is an indicator of the strength of white-collar industries in legal and financial services as well as research and development as well as the demand for other service-sector industries. As an anchor and magnet for businesses and an attractive city for tourists, Boston is also selected as a venue for conferences, conventions and vacations. In times of rapid economic growth, the demand for office space increases, putting pressure on rents and spurring new development to accommodate new economic growth. In economic downturns, commercial space reflects the slower or negative growth. |
Office Market: As of Q2 2012 Boston’s office vacancy rate was 11.5%, up from 9% in Q2 2009 and the low point of 6% in Q3 2007 but still lower than the high of 13.8% in Q3 2003. The tightest office market was located in Back Bay with a vacancy rate of 5.3% and an average asking price of $53.60 per square foot. Vacancy in the Central Business District was 14.4% with an average price of $43 per square foot and in Core Downtown vacancy was 12% with an average price of $44.78 per square foot. Hotel Market: the Boston/Cambridge area hotel market improved on all key metrics from 2010 to 2011: occupancy increased from to 77% from 76%, the average room rate increased to $199.02 from $193.22 and the revenue per available room (RevPAR) increased to $153.24 from $146.27. Growth is projected to continue through 2012, to a 78% occupancy rate, $216.93 average room are and $169.20 RevPAR. |
GOAL: 3.3 Economic Equity |
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3.3.1 Gini Index of Income Inequality
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The Gini Index is a statistical method that measures the distribution of income. An index of zero represents a condition in which every family earns the same amount. Higher figures represent greater income inequality among families. Comparing the income disparities between the top and the bottom 20% of the population provides the most dramatic contrast and tells us how wide the chasm is between wealth and poverty. |
In 2010, Boston’s Gini index of income inequality .543—the highest recorded over the last fifty years—ranking as the third most unequal among the 50 largest US cities, behind Atlanta and Miami. This surpasses the previous high of .533 in 2007 at the height of the pre-recession boom. Because of the recession, in 2009 the Gini index fell to .519, the lowest since 2000, but quickly worsened in the recovery. Historically, Boston’s GINI index has ranged between 0.335 in 1960 and 0.481 in 2000. Statewide, Massachusetts’ Gini index in 2010 was 0.475 and tied with Louisiana as the third most unequal state behind New York and Connecticut. |
3.3.2 Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity
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Incomes in Boston are closely related to unemployment rates and levels of educational attainment. Tracking income by race/ethnicity in Boston provides an indication of the success of efforts to eliminate racial/ethnic disparities in access to employment and education. For example, improvements in neighborhood income over time may indicate that residents’ incomes have improved, or that a neighborhood’s demographic composition has changed, with lower income residents moving out and higher income residents moving in. |
In 2010, Boston’s per capita income was nearly $34,000 but with stark racial ethnic disparities. The per capita income for white, non-Latino Bostonians was over $45,000 compared to about $29,000 among Asians, $19,000 among African Americans and $15,000 among Latinos. Overall, Boston’s per capita income increased by about 11% between 2000 and 2010, when adjusted for inflation. |
3.3.3 Unemployment by Race/Ethnicity and Education
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Unemployment rates describe a mismatch between people of working age in a community and the jobs available to them. Unemployment in particular communities may indicate that the workforce is not prepared for the types of job offered. It may also indicate that people, while prepared, cannot access jobs, due to a lack of networking, transportation or other, more subtle, impediments. |
Though Boston’s city-wide unemployment rate dropped below 6% in early 2012, deep racial/ethnic disparities persist. As of 2010 when the city-wide rate was 8.6%, the unemployment rate for white, non-Latino Bostonians 16 years and older was 6.5% compared to 12% among Asians, 21% among Latinos and 24% among African American Bostonians 16 years and older. |
3.3.4 Families Living in Povert
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Changes in the poverty rate not only indicate the overall strength of a region's economy but reflect the impact of economic activity on historically lower-income municipalities, neighborhoods or residents. A sustainable economy should provide enough jobs that pay wages high enough to keep families out of poverty. While the federal poverty level is often dismissed as being too low, or not representative of the true costs of living in a high-cost city such as Boston, tracking trends in poverty rates according to this standard provides a measure of progress made. |
Boston’s poverty rate in 2010 was 23.3% and has remained at or near 20% since 1990. Among children under 18, the poverty rate was 30% in 2010, also relatively unchanged since 1990. |
GOAL: 3.4 Affordable Cost of Living |
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3.4.1 Economic Independence Index, Boston |
Boston’s Crittenton-Women’s Union developed the Economic Independence Index, formerly the Family Self Sufficiency Status. It includes the costs of housing, food, child care, health care, transportation, miscellaneous items, and taxes—without any public or private subsidies and no allowance for saving for retirement, children’s education, or emergency expenses. The wage required for economic independence varies by geographic area and by family size and composition. The high cost of living in Boston raises questions about the self-sufficiency wages for different categories of families. |
The income required for a single parent in Boston to support one preschooler and one school-age child increased to $62,421 in 2010 from $39,156 in 1998, according to the Crittenton-Women’s Union. The Economic Independence wage for a family of four including one adult rises to more than $80,000 to cover housing, food, clothing, education and other basic necessities. This is more than four times the Federal Poverty Threshold and more than double 185% of Federal Poverty, the point at which most state and federal subsidies and supports expire. An estimated 150,000 Bostonians—including 30,000 children—live between 185% of poverty and 400% of the federal poverty level—a proxy for economic self-sufficiency. |
3.4.2 |
High costs affect the regional economy in many ways. Companies are less likely to locate or expand because they must pay their employees more. Skilled workers are less likely to move to or stay in the region because of the lack of reasonably priced housing. Furthermore, high costs are leaving little money for families to invest in education, job training or to improve their quality of life. | Metro Boston’s Consumer Price Index increased by 33% from 2000 to 2011, while the region’s average weekly wage actually declined by about 1% when adjusted for inflation through the third quarter of 2011. The growth in costs was driven by and 83% increase in fuel and utility prices, 61% increase in medical care and a 53% increase in the price of other services. Residents of Metro Boston pay the most for medical care, other goods and services and shelter—all higher than the average consumer price index. The price index for medical care in 2011 was more than two times greater than the overall consumer price index. |
GOAL: 3.5 A Skilled Workforce |
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3.5.1 Educational Attainment
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Education is the surest and quickest way to prosperity. Not only do incomes rise with educational attainment, but also the rate of increase is higher for those with higher levels of education. As education helps individuals become economically successful, it also helps regional economies. Skilled workers are a region’s greatest competitive advantage, and Metro Boston is a leader in this area. |
Metro Boston ranks 4th among the nation’s largest metro’s in the percent of adults 25 years or older with a BA or higher at 43%, behind DC, San Jose and San Francisco. However, Boston ranks 1st in the percent of highly educated young workers with 54% of 25-34 year olds holding a BA or Higher. The metro is anchored by Boston’s high educational attainment where 62% of 25 to 34 year old hold a BA or higher, topping all other large US cities. |
3.5.2 Job Training and Adult Wait Lists |
The region’s fast- changing and diverse innovation economy requires a streamlined, responsive and adaptable education and training pipeline—Adult Basic Education, English as a Second or Other Language, CORI reform, tailored community college courses, BA degree completion efforts. |
In Massachusetts, many jobs remain vacant despite a large pool of unemployed workers, suggesting a jobs/skills mismatch. Vacancies as of the second quarter of 2010 (the latest available) showed: A mismatch between unemployed middle-skilled workers’ skills and job requirements: 8% of available jobs that required less than a BA but more than a high school diploma remained unfilled despite the fact that 23% of the unemployed held these credentials. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston research finds that over the last decade, the number of middle-skilled workers in the Bay State has declined while their wage premium has risen. This suggests that even middle-skilled workers with an Associate’s degree or some college lack the actual skillsets required by employers with open jobs in certain industries. Low-skill-job churn: Low-skilled occupations comprised 55% of job vacancies while 50% of the unemployed have a high school diploma or less. These vacancies are largely attributable to high turnover. Employers reported that 80% of low-skilled openings were filled within 30 days and 13% of employers constantly recruited. |
3.5.3 |
The persistence of job vacancies, particularly at times of high unemployment, signals a mismatch between the skills required to do a job and the skills available among the pool of workers. Without a deep talent pool, employers may leave for a lower-cost region. | As of 2011, some estimates showed as many as 120,000 unfilled jobs but more than 240,000 unemployed workers in Massachusetts. The most recent data from Massachusetts Department of Labor and Workforce Development showed that in 2010 Q2 37% of open jobs in Massachusetts required a BA or Higher, 8% required an Associates Degree or some certification and 55% of vacant jobs required no minimum education, though this may reflect the high turnover rates in low-skilled jobs. In Greater Boston, the highest vacancy rates were in Life, Physical & Social Science occupations at 4.1%, Food Prep & Serving Related at 3.9% and Computer & Mathematical occupations at 3.5%. However, the largest number of vacant positions were in Food Prep & Serving Related occupations with 4,844 unfilled jobs and in Office & Administrative Support with 3,985 available positions. |
GOAL: 3.6 Economic Mobility |
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3.6.1 Community College Tuition as a Percent of Household Income |
The high cost of education is often cited as a top barrier to enrolling and persisting in post-secondary education and training. Because community colleges are meant to be accessible by all in the community, it is important that it is affordable to all. |
The average cost of tuition and fees at a Massachusetts Community College has remained between 4.7% and 4.9% of median household income between 2005 and 2009. At Boston’s two Community Colleges, the cost burden was 4.3% of median income at Bunker Hill Community College and 4.6% of median income at Roxbury Community College. However, Boston’s median family income is very high—at $81,569 in FY2009. By contrast, the lowest quintile of households had an income of $13,557. For these families, the average tuition at Bunker Hill and Roxbury Community Colleges would be more than 25% of household income. |
3.6.2 |
An Associate’s Degree is an important tool for economic upward mobility; it is a degree that can help propel a high school graduate toward a Bachelor’s Degree or toward a Middle-Skill job that requires more than a high school diploma but less than a Bachelor’s Degree. An Associate’s degree also boosts lifetime earnings for a Massachusetts resident by $280,000 over one with just a high school diploma, according to the Center for Labor Market Studies at Northeastern University. | A total of 11,136 Associate’s Degrees and Certificates were awarded in FY2009, up from 10,299 in FY2005, According to the Massachusetts Department of Higher Education. The number of certificates awarded increased to 2,587 from 2,309 and the number of Associate’s Degrees conferred increased to 8,549 from 7,990. At Bunker Hill the total awards increased to 817 in FY09 from 679 in FY05, with the number of certificates declining to 160 from 174 and the number of associate’s increasing to 657 from 505. At Roxbury Community College, the number of awards declined to 212 in FY09 from 229 in FY05, with the number of certificates declining to 18 from 39 and the number of associates degrees awarded increasing to 194 from 190. According to the Massachusetts Department of Higher Education, among those entering community college in 2004, after four years 33.6% had graduated, 16% transferred, 20.3% had earned at least 30 credits and 2% were still enrolled. At Bunker Hill, 25% had graduated, 19% transferred, 20% had earned 30 credits and 2.4% were still enrolled. At Roxbury Community College, 22% graduated, 22% transferred, 25% had earned 30 credits and 2% were still enrolled. |
Goal: 3.7 Fiscally sound state and city budgets |
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3.7.1 Total revenue and expenditures, Massachusetts
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The Commonwealth of Massachusetts is constitutionally required to end each fiscal year with a balanced budget. In times of economic growth and expansion, this may provide the state with a surplus to save, spend or reinvest, but at times of economic contraction, declining revenues often require a reduction in spending resulting in cuts to programs that support the social safety net. |
In FY12 the Commonwealth’s budget was more than $34 billion, a 4% decline since FY09 when adjusted for inflation. Rising unemployment, declining wages and reduced purchasing power associated with the Great Recession have left the Commonwealth—along with every other state—with a budget deficit for the fourth year running of $1.9 billion for FY12 down from $5 billion in 2010. However, the loss of Federal Stimulus Funding in FY11 meant that a larger share of the budget gap had to be filled with program cuts leaving crucial services to low-income residents underfunded, includining:
In FY11, Massachusetts’ budget shortfall was 5.7% of its total projected expenditures—which ranked it 5th lowest among all of the states. By comparison, states with the highest deficit-to-expenditure ratio had double-digit shortfalls: Nevada, 45% of total expenditures; New Jersey, 37%; Texas at 30.5%; and California at 29.3%.To close the revenue gap, the Massachusetts Legislature drew down part of the state’s Rainy Day Fund foresightedly built up during the good years. However, in FY10, the Legislature voted for a sales tax increase, which was projected to raise $1 billion from FY10 through FY12. |
3.7.2 Total revenue and expenditures City of Boston |
The fiscal health of the City of Boston not only impacts the provision of basic services, such as housing, transportation and sanitation, but also the capacity to invest in the arts, community economic development and new technology that make Boston a world-class city. |
As of FY12, the City of Boston’s total budget was balanced with $2.394 billion in revenues and expenses after posting a budget surplus of $5.91 million in FY11 and $9.09 million in FY10. The proposed budget for FY13 is balanced at $2.454 billion, a 2.5% increase over FY12. Overall, expenditures have been rising faster than revenues, having increased by 7% and 6.6% respectively between FY10 to FY13.
The city of Boston also includes non-Mayoral agencies such as the Boston Housing Authority and the Water & Sewer Commission and Intergovernmental relations with the state and county. |
3.7.3
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More than half of Massachusetts’ total revenues come from taxes, with more than one-third derived from the income tax. Tax policy can be progressive with higher-earning individuals and institutions paying a larger share of income toward taxes, regressive with lower-income earners paying a greater share of income in taxes, or neutral with a flat tax rate. |
Massachusetts total state and local tax structure—including income, property, gas, excise, sales and other taxes—is regressive, with the poorest 20% paying nearly twice the rate of the wealthiest 5% in Massachusetts. In 2010, the poorest 20% of Massachusetts residents paid nearly 10% of their income in all state and local taxes combined, including the state’s income tax, while the wealthiest 1%—with incomes greater than $580,000— paid less than 6% |
Please note: The data and analyses contained in this section are no longer being updated and are presented here solely as an archive of Boston Indicators’ work on this Indicators Framework between the years 2000 and 2015.